Ice-Free Antarctic, Arctic Predictions in the Toilet

It appears to us that predictions of the Antarctic and Arctic being ice-free are about as impressive as predicting dinosaurs are having a comeback and will reappear any decade now, but we just don’t know what one. Why do we say this?

From our take, it looks like the ice at both poles is indeed making a comeback, not receding. As you can see from this article at The Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF), the Antarctic ice is back and could even set a new record:

It is very likely 2013 will go down in the history books as having the 2nd highest Antarctic sea ice minimum of all time. In 2013 there was 1.4 million sq km more sea ice than there was in 1997 at minimum.

Top 6 Minimum Extents:

Year Day Minimum Extent
2008 51 3.69176
2013 50 3.6504
2003 48 3.6257
2001 50 3.44094
1995 55 3.32988
2004 51 3.25927

Lowest 6 Minimums:

Year Day Minimum_Extent
1997 58 2.26415
1993 50 2.28078
1984 58 2.38292
2006 51 2.4866
1992 54 2.49238
1980 57 2.52686

You can plainly see from the below chart that there’s plenty of ice this year. To reiterate, it could even be a new record.

Antarctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2013_Day_55_1981-2010

So what about those dire Antarctic predictions? Well, here’s some links for you to read.

Antarctica: It’s Getting Hot at the Bottom of the Planet: Time evidently thinks there’s a heat-wave down there.

Polar ice sheets ‘are melting three times faster than they were just two decades ago‘:  Uh huh, this one has both poles melting at accelerated rates.

Antarctic Ice Melt: This one has it losing-gaining. Must be like that global warming caused cooling and worse blizzards with less snow or something.

What about all those dire Arctic predictions telling us that by such and such a year you’ll be able to circumnavigate the North Pole in your kayak? Well, frankly, there’s so many predictions that someday, it may be one of them will get lucky, but only because it will be like the stopped clock that’s correct twice per day. It will be due to blind luck and not those garbage-in-preferred-result-out computer models.

As you can see by the below chart, there doesn’t appear to be a big problem in the Arctic either. So far it’s way ahead of 2007, the year that caused some warmers to hit the panic button.

ssmi1-ice-area

Here’s a sampling for your review with links to the articles.

Ice Free Arctic Update – This one’s too funny. Why? Well, here we have “Top NASA experts predicted an ice-free Arctic for 2012.” Well, sorry guys, but 2012 is gone and that ice is not only still there, there’s a whole shitload of it.

Serreze : Ice Free Arctic In 2100 2070 2050 2030 – Looks to us like Serreze is like a guy who bets every spot on Roulette, knowing he’ll lose his ass, but at least he’ll win one spot.

By 2050 the Arctic ice sheet will be so thin that ships could be sailing across the North Pole, experts predict – We have to wonder if these are the same “experts” that predicted the Arctic being ice-free in 2012? Note they had to run 7 computer simulations to arrive at this conclusion. Must have taken a lot of time to come up with that garbage-in-the desired-result-out. After all that please note the use of the word “could” in the very first sentence.

There’s plenty more predictions out there but we don’t believe we have enough bandwidth to post them all.

We could book a summer vacation to the soon to be hot spot of Point Barrow, Alaska, or Western Antarctica, but it’s kind of hard to book in advance when you don’t know what yeardecade, century, not to mention if it’s ever going to happen.

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9 Comments

Filed under Alaska, Arctic, Climate Alarmism, Climate Change, Climate Disruption, Climate Modeling, CO2, Co2 Insanity, Editor, Global Warming, NASA, NOAA, Sea-Ice

9 responses to “Ice-Free Antarctic, Arctic Predictions in the Toilet

  1. Thanks, that’s funny!

  2. Anonymous

    Why won’t the religeous GHG nuts listen to the facts?
    Their meaning of life seems to begin and end with man-made global warming. Go have kids – get a life.

  3. Anonymous

    You would be much more credible, and your information would be taken much more seriously, if you would eliminate gratuitous profanities and stick to the unadorned facts. This article has more the appearance of being written by disgruntled schoolboys. If the facts are correct, they require no further emphasis.

  4. So, your conclusion relates to the arctic ice, but your evidence tells us about antarctic ice. And you laugh at what other people have to say on the subject!

    • ice on the polar caps indicates warmer water. in any culture ice is symbol for coldness; but Eskimos make igloos from ice, to keep themselves warm. So, when you refer about polar caps: there the average temp is minus -30C – that is twice as cold than in your deep freezer, no problem of freezing air moisture from the air, even if it gets warmer by 2-3-4-5-6-7C.

      Further more: when more water around Antarctic / or Arctic is covered by ice -> that ice is full of air as perfect insulator = protects the warm-water below, from the unlimited coldness in the atmospher

  5. Bill Willoughby

    Am I wrong? It looked like the last 2 years you could have circumnavigated the pole (if you were fast enough)

  6. Berty

    This article is terrible John and so many others like it are terrible, no scientist claimed the Antarctic would be ice free by 2010 or 2020 or 2030 or whatever. The North Pole maybe, yes maybe I read some predictions on the North Pole but the South Pole was not predicted to melt anytime soon by any well respected scientist.
    I have read your blog before and think you should use a different approach if you want to debate against ‘environmentalists’. Putting out right lies and falsifications in your site only ruins your credibility. Stick to the facts don’t exaggerate or sensationalize stuff if you want to be critical of the leftists.

  7. Berty

    Glaciers in the Southern Hemisphere have been predicted to melt soon by scientist but that’s a whole other game compared to the entire landmass of Antarctica melting. As with ma thematic predictions sea levels have been rising between 5 and 8 inches depending on where you live. The South Pole was not expected to melt soon John, it was not predicted to melt by scientists. You should remove the sensational and exaggerated stuff from your site. It only kills this websites credibility