The MET Office can be quite wacky. For the past two years they’ve predicted warm winters for the UK and got just got bombarded by record snow and cold weather as a message from Gaia that she’s not impressed again this year. We even have a lone dude in the UK with a PC who out-predicts them and their mega-computer on a regular basis. Piers Corbyn, of Weather Action regularly out-predicts them, too. They needlessly shut down the airline industry in Europe when a volcano in Iceland erupted because their computer models of how the ash cloud would disperse were goofy. They’ve even recently predicted that global warming is being slowed by global warming.
Now that I’ve laid it all out for you the fact I’m taking anything seriously they say takes a lot of doing on my part to say the least. But, when it comes to the IPCC and their predictions that include things like melting glaciers in the Himalayas by 2035 and use of things like magazine articles in their findings I guess I’m predisposed to believe the MET Office before I’ll believe the IPCC, although it’s close to being a toss-up. (Not a toss-off for you Brits, though they do perhaps employ some jerk-offs)
From the Telegraph today we have an article titled “Climate change: Met Office halves ‘worst case’ sea level prediction,” which is about another tidbit from the 2007 IPCC report that many have squawked about and justifiably so in my opinion.
Previously scientists had said oceans could rise by up to 13ft (4m) threatening cities like Shanghai, London and New York by 2100.
But it has been revised so that now the worse case scenario is just over 6ft 6in (2m). This is still unlikely, but would mean the Maldives in the Indian Ocean and Tuvalu in the Pacific could be lost forever.
The most likely sea level rise this century remains between 8 and 23 inches (20-60cm), causing devastation in small island states and low lying countries like Bangladesh.
As you can see, they’re not losing 100% of the alarmism, but at least this is more reasonable a prediction about sea-level rise. Based upon this article from the Watts Up With That? website along with this and others (if you search) it’s dubious in my mind if it would even be 8 inches. You can see for yourself how the lines on those charts are. I also take exception to the Maldives having any problems in the near or distant future.
Anyway, 8 to 23 inches is a welcome improvement over 13 feet, and an even more welcome improvement by some totally outrageous predictions of 20 feet, like this one from James Hansen of GISS.
It seems to me that what we have here is tantamount to one group of residents of an insane asylum saying that another group of residents in the insane asylum are insane. But, I guess insanity comes in degrees and some people, while not quite sane, are at least saner than others.
Perhaps the IPCC and others need some Thorazine, straight-jackets and padded walls. I’ll leave you to judge that. Regardless, it’s more CO2 Insanity.
Source: the Telegraph