Category Archives: Sea-Ice

“Unprecedented” Freezing in Arctic

Yes, that’ s right, I am turning the tables on the warmers and using their favorite word “unprecedented” in my title, but this time it really is “unprecedented!”

We now have the quickest freeze – ever – in the Arctic, right now, as I type it’s freezing faster than ever recorded. According to Steven Goddard’s Real Science blog…..

It”s official. From September 20-30, JAXA gained 661,250 km² of ice. That is more than 11,000 Manhattans, and is the fastest start to winter in the JAXA database.

Can you warmers say oops? While things can change it certainly seems to me that we’re off to a better start than ever before and it’s only the beginning of October.

You can refer to an item I posted on 8/15/2010 titled “The Arctic Is Not Melting” and another post on 9/21/2010 titled “Contrary to Warmer BS Arctic Ice Thickening” if you want to read what I think about the climate alarmist cries that the Arctic is melting away and we’ll soon be sailing thought the Northwest Passage on a regular basis.

But, lest I crow too loud and offend any warmistas or come up with any conspiracy theories, perhaps it’s just due to mere degradation of satellite data or sensor failure, or perhaps just some well paid scientists working for a billion dollar government agency are asleep at the wheel and it’s merely a simple mistake of unchecked data and we should all ignore it and it will go away any day now.

Nah, it seems funny to me that those satellite faux pas only seem to add warming and for some unexplained reason don’t ever ever add cooling. I can’t say I remember seeing it was minus 600 degrees in Egg Harbor, Wisconsin anyway. Besides I dont’ want to be accused of being “over the top.”  🙂

Source: Real Science

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Filed under Climate Change, Co2 Insanity, Global Warming, Sea-Ice

Contrary to Warmer BS Arctic Ice Thickening

Yes you read right. To all those who want to believe all the warmer propaganda like “the ice is melting” or “soon there will be no ice in the Arctic” and other cute little phrases designed to scare those global warming bucks right out of your wallet into someone else’s bank account please go look at this one from Real Science.

As you can plainly see the ice is getting thicker, not thinning faster than Kojak’s hair. Polar Bears will not be drowning, the Walruses will not be beaching themselves due to lack of ice (which by the way is normal and not something to get over-excited about) and the Arctic Fox probably doesn’t need to go on the endangered species list because of that old faux global warming.

2010 Ice Gain vs. 2008

All  you warmers please take a deep breath and say oops! Please go to the source below for all the information.

Source: Real Science

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Filed under Climate Alarmism, Co2 Insanity, Global Warming, Sea-Ice

The Arctic is not melting

The “warmers’ are such an amazing propaganda machine. Joseph Goebbels, the king of Nazi propaganda, surely would feel like a proud papa were he to return from his well deserved visit to Hell. At least the “warmers” haven’t sent us “skeptics” to concentration camps, yet. Though I’d wager some would love to. Words like honesty, truth, accuracy, and reality are apparently not in their vocabulary.  People such as Adolf Hitler, Vladimir Lenin and William James (father of modern psychology) have all made statements to the effect of “tell a lie often enough and people will believe it, ” which kind of sounds like the “warmer” mantra.

Speaking of Hell, the “warmers” want you to think it’s hotter than Hell in the Arctic this year. But is it? Or, is this just another case of mass propaganda put out by the “warmers” to be foisted upon the public by a mainstream media who are either clueless, in cahoots with them, or both.

If you read any previous posts on here you’re aware of some “funny” things going on with how data is collected by NOAA, GISS, NASA, etc. We’ve had

  • 612 degree temperatures in Egg Harbor, Wisconsin.
  • Satellite-gate about how the Landsat 7 satellite doesn’t work all that well, and how new, yet to be launched satellites, will be missing a lot of sensors they should have aboard.
  • Satellite-gate 10-15 About how the  NOAA data is 10-15 degrees high due to satellite data being incorrect.

We have some wacky people and government agencies providing some very wacky data, that, as evidenced by the deletion of satellite sensor arrays from those new satellites, leads me to surmise that something is rotten.

I did find some  more information which leads me to the conclusion that the data they use is perpetuating a fraud upon the general public. Many “eat” the “alarmist” newspaper articles, TV shows and “alarmist” website BS up like candy. Remember, newspapers are a hurting industry, they’re in business to sell papers and they need sensationalism to sell papers. You can say the same about TV and internet.

An article titled “No problem in the Arctic – Plenty of Sea-Ice – No global warming – you can relax now” isn’t going to sell many papers. An article titled “Sea-Ice Melting! No Arctic Ice by 2030! We’re all gonna die!” will certainly get the general public’s attention. Toss in some Photoshopped pictures of polar bears sitting on mini-icebergs, and the  “alarmist” BS about the iceberg that just broke off a glacier in Greenland (here), and you’re going to sell lots of news.

This morning I found an article at Pajamas Media about how NOAA and GISS are obtaining their alleged Arctic temperatures. They then use this faux data to make claims that it’s really hot up there, the ice is melting, the polar bears are dying, and you’ll be able to sail the Queen Mary though the new Northwest Passage in a couple of decades because due to global warming the polar cap will melt. Below is one snippet.

In the case of the Arctic that one thermometer and the few that are on the fringe of the Arctic are used to calculate the average temperature of everything north of eighty degrees. When one uses a 250-degree smoothing factor for the data from GISS, the truth is suddenly and shockingly revealed: they don’t have any thermometers north of eighty degrees and very few north of sixty degrees. The 1,200 kilometer smoothing floods the Arctic with assumed temperature readings that don’t actually exist.

So what does this all mean in miles? To get into further detail than the PJ article, each degree of latitude is approximately 69 miles. From 80 degrees north, where their highest (if I read the article right theres’ only 1)sensor is, it is about 690 miles to the North Pole (90 degrees north), (10 degrees x 69 miles = 690 miles). For an equivalent it’s like having a sensor in Salt Lake City, Utah and claiming the temperature there is the temperature in San Francisco, California.  You can see approximate degrees latitude and approximate distances on the below map.

From 60 degrees north, the line where most sensors cease to exist, it’s approximately 2,070 miles (30 degrees x 69 miles =2,070 miles). That’s like having a sensor in San Francisco, California and using it to ascertain the temperature in St. Louis, Missouri. Again, an extremely long distance to be claiming one temperature is the same as the other.

The 1,2oo kilometer smoothing basically means that they will take one sensor and use it as data for the whole area in a 1,200 kilometer 360 degree radius. What’s 1,200 kilometers? It is the equivalent of 745 miles. The approximate distance from San Francisco, California to Phoenix, Arizona. To give you an idea of what kind of temperature disparity this kind of “smoothing” can cause, as I write, it’s 56 degrees in San Francisco. In Phoenix it’s 99 degrees. Get the point? It’s called how to warm things up for the general public, many of who read these things without understanding them or bothering to do any research on whether the article, website, or TV show is being realistic or “alarmist.”

As en example, using their method, I could create a chart now showing that it’s 99 degrees in San Francisco when it’s really 43 degrees cooler because I’m using that 1200 km “smoothing” that allows me to effectively cheat and claim the temperatures are the same in both cities, regardless how preposterous the claim is. This is one way you get all the claimed global warming. Toss in that satellite data that is 10-15 degrees higher and you have voilà, the “hottest June,” “the hottest 6 months,” “the hottest year,” Hopefully you get the point that it’s tantamount to a lot of “hot air” and as far as reality is concerned, it’s not much scientific value, unless you’re into science fiction stories.

Now let’s get to the sea-ice extent in the Arctic and what’s really happening at the north and south poles vs. what the “warmers” would like you to believe. As far as the “warmers” are concerned that Arctic sea-ice is melting at record rates. It’s yet more proof of global warming and designed to foster the false belief that we’ll soon all think we’re roasting in Hell with Joseph Goebbels, unless we start worshipping at the Church of Global Warming and put lots of money in that basket when it’s passed around. What I call “Alarmism” at its best.

The website Watts Up with That has a nice sea-ice page with all the latest charts on what the sea-ice extent is doing. They’re regularly updated, too, which is good because you’re not looking at old or faux data, it’s right from the source in real-time. Per his “Sea Ice News 18” summer is over in the Arctic. The ice shouldn’t be melting anymore, it should start building now that it’s getting colder. Per the chart below you can see  for yourself that the temperature has peaked and is now dropping.

Per the next chart below, you can plainly see (the red line) that it’s not as bad as the “alarmist” have made it out to be. It’s better than 2oo7 (purple line) and 2008 (green line) and actually seems to be on course, so far, with 2009 (blue line). Please note that 2009 was better (more ice) than 2007, which is the year the “warmers” tout as proof we’re melting like the Wicked Witch of the North in the Wizard of Oz.

You’ll see there is one small period where 2010 drops slightly below 2007, which has also been flying around the MSM as proof that the ice is melting. The only problem is this only lasted a matter of days before it changed back. Notice you didn’t hear anything about that in the MSM, did you? They don’t want you to know that it was only a blip on the radar. They’ll take any tidbit they can find and use it to preach global warming.

You should check out Watts Up with that here as they have more charts and explanations about what’s happening in the Arctic and the Antarctic.

By the way the Antarctic isn’t melting away either. You can plainly see per the below chart that 2010 (red line) is probably going to set a record as the sea-ice extent is significantly higher than 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008 and even 2009. Something else you don’t hear from the MSM.

This is how they get you sucked into believing in global warming. They use data with missing chunks, incorrect data, skewed data, non-existent data, manufactured data, and do nice little “scientific” things like 1,200 km smoothing, which allows one to use a higher temperature from half a continent away as the data you want to claim is in an area that you want to show is warming,

Don’t believe me? Here’s a quote attributed to Dr. James Hansen, Director of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS).

The 12-month running mean global temperature in the GISS analysis has reached a new record in 2010. The main factor is our estimated temperature change for the Arctic region.

Hell, who needs reality? Let’s just estimate what we want the public to hear! Will this type of CO Insanity ever go away? I”m not holding my breath.

Sources: Pajamas Media, Watts Up With That

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Filed under Climategate, Co2 Insanity, Glaciers, Global Warming, Government, John O'Sullivan, NASA, NOAA, Science, Sea-Ice, Weather

See how they (Greenpeace) lie!

Here’s a good one from Gerd Liepold, outgoing Greenpeace leader telling you about how they exaggerate. No ice by 2030? That has about as much chance of happening as global warming, or Santa coming down your chimney, or Obama registering as a Republican. Again you have ecotards who think the general public are all morons.  I’m really amazed his nose wasn’t growing ala Pinocchio.

Sounds like them telling the truth has about as much of a chance, too.

Another case of CO2 Insanity.

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Filed under Co2 Insanity, Glaciers, Global Warming, Sea-Ice

Global Warming BS 8-8-2010

The headline should be “Warmers continue to spin anything and everything as proof positive of anthropogenic global warming” but it was just too big to put out there.

This week we have several highlights of things the warmers are shouting and touting, while conveniently forgetting and ignoring all things noted as non-warming, or cooling, or even reality.

I see complaints of a possible drought in the UK. You can go to the Daily Mail here and read about it. But oops! Seems were having major rains and flooding in the north per the BBC here. I see no mention of global warming in either article. But we get nice scare piece from the Guardian here about how all that drought is proof we’ll all burn up.

HEAT-WAVES and COLD-WAVES

We have the giant heat-wave in Russia coupled with the forest fires that, according to some of the “warmistas” just have to absolutely, positively be “unprecedented’ proof that we’re all going to burn up. We’ll all be hotter than a “sex poodle.”

Time has a piece here about how the Russian heat-wave is all global warming related. Funny how this works. When we have a heat-wave it’s always global warming, when it’s cold we don’t hear much about it, or sometimes even cold is caused by global warming. Go figure!

You can look at the below from NOAA and yes it’s hot in Russia, it’s even a little hotter than normal (the green is about a 1-3 degrees Celsius) over much of Europe, but there’s a substantial area (the white) that has no deviation (aka: it’s normal). Seems everyone conveniently forgets small or no increases over normal. They just yell and scream global warming and only note the big increases. But when it’s conveniently going to prove global warming they’ll tout a small .05 degree temperature rise. Reality doesn’t matter, it’s what they think they can use to pull the wool over everyone’s eyes that they search for and misconstrue.

We recently had a heat-wave in the Northeast United States. Again the “warmers” are touting is as proof that global warming is coming to get us. Here’s an item in the Washington Post blaming heat waves on global warming.

Yet they conveniently ignore that the San Francisco Bay Area and much of the US as been well below normal temperatures this year. You can see from the below NOAA map. Much of the US is normal (white) and below normal (blues, purples, black), not hotter, but you don’t see any headlines about that, do you? Note the black area over much of Colorado and Wyoming? That’s at least 8 degrees celsius lower. That translates to about 17.6 degrees fahrenheit below normal.

Don’t believe my assertion that some heat-waves aren’t tantamount to being proof of global warming? Here’s a piece from the New York Times Green section. Now you know the NYT is on the “warmer” side, yet this is very obvious about not being able to attribute a heat wave to global warming. Why? How about because it’s the truth? Something that appears to be a novelty to many “warmers.”

Politics aside, what does one heat wave really mean? Not too much. As climate science informs us, individual weather events say little about the state of the global climate, which is measured by decades, centuries and millennia, not days.

The science of heat waves and climate change remains unsettled.

Hmmmmm, “unsettled,” not “unprecedented,” not “the science is settled,” meaning that it just might be weather and no more, period.

We seem to have a lamestream media blackout on the fact that it is so unusually cold this year in South America that many animals are even freezing to death along with a significant number of  people. Evidently if it’s “unprecedented” cold, (which it is), then it’s not going to be acknowledged by the “warmer” media. I just “Googled” it and pages 1-5 have nothing from MSM on them. Proof they avoid anything about cooling like the plague. Some do report about it.

Here’s an item from Global Times titled “Peru braces for 7th cold wave this winter.” Yes 7th! No, we don’t get any mainstream media reporting about it.

Per this article from Accuweather you can see that its record-breaking cold, yet we see nothing about it because it doesn’t feed the “alarmist global warming” crowd.

More than a week of abnormal cold has chilled Argentina and other parts of South America, leaving rare snow, rewriting record books and causing hypothermia deaths.

Snow was seen for the first time in living memory in parts of Santiago del Estero, the MetSul meteorologist said. In the far north, one town of Tucuman had snow for the first time since 1921.

Interesting indeed that there’s no mention of this in the MSM. They will shriek about the heatwaves and completely ignore the cold waves. The heat waves are global warming, we’ll ignore the cold waves, they don’t fit “sex poodle’s” vision of us paying carbon taxes to save the globe and conveniently make a lot of his good buddies wealthy or wealther in the process.

ICEBERGS

Well we can’t forget that we now have a new giant iceberg courtesy of a glacier in Greenland calving into the ocean.  That just has to be “robust” proof that there’s global warming, look it’ melted the glacier! Here’s an article from AOL noting how “the process is exacerbated by global warming.” Which of course everything is according to the “warmers.”

Ummmm….lamestream media and other assorted warmers should note that calving is a normal glacial process and actually proves the glacier is growing because the ice is flowing out over the sea.  If the glacier was having heat related problems it wouldn’t be growing it would be retreating and there wouldn’t be any ice over the water, no calving, no iceberg floating about, no “alarmist” news articles either, no papers being sold, hmmmmmm.

It’s a rather normal process, too. Even the “alarmist” AOL article notes that….

The U.S. Coast Guard’s International Ice Patrol estimates that anywhere from 10,000 to 40,000 icebergs break off from Greenland’s west coast in any given year. But what’s unusual about this one is its size – more typical of Antarctica rather than the Arctic.

Gee, only 10,000 to 40,000 per year? But they have a “whopper” here so they can use it to foster the “whopper’s” they tell about global warming and make tons of money selling online news, magazines, newspapers, TV news shows, etc.

It’s not “unprecedented” either, or even something new.

The last time such a massive iceberg formed in the Arctic was in 1962, when the Ward Hunt Ice Shelf gave birth to a 230-square-mile ice island which also broke up in the Nares Strait.

Hmmm, in 1962 no one even heard of global warming. It was all about the global cooling. I wonder if the cooling scientists pulled something out of their collective butts to prove that it was caused by global cooling? Probably not because science was science back then and not the dog and pony show we now have. Note the 1962 one was double the size of the current one, yet it appears no one was having a heart-attack about it. The nightly news probably said something like “a large iceberg has broken off Greenland that may pose problems for shipping.”

Heat isn’t the only reason for calving either.  There’s stress from all that weight, ocean currents (moving water, not necessarily warm water), wind, it’s obviously summer in the Arctic, meaning that regardless the status of global warming, it’s going to warm up and thin the ice which makes it fracture and break easier. Sounds like a normal process to me.

The ice isn’t “lost” as reported by some. It’s actually still there, it’s not going anyplace far as there’s still a lot of sea ice blocking the way. It’s not going to melt very fast either regardless what direction it heads. The only thing unusual is it’s big, nothing more. But it’s a terrific way to skew things, sell newspapers and scare the crap out of the public.

HURRICANES

I’m still waiting for all those global warming induced Atlantic hurricanes we’re supposed to have this summer. According to Colorado State University, NOAA and a host of others, we’re supposed to have a shitload of them. I”m also still waiting for the lamestream media to ask that same question. Seems they’re conveniently ignoring the “where’s all the hurricanes?” question. Especially after the predictions floating around about how global warming is going to cause more hurricanes and larger hurricanes. Sorry, it’s not “alarmist” no news there folks, now turn to page 2 and read about how global warming is causing an increase in genital warts.

We have a synopsis here from Maholo.com here that you can read.  Here’s a couple of the predictions below.

  • Colorado State University says 8 hurricanes.
  • NOAA is really off the deep end with 8-14 hurricanes and 3-7 major hurricanes.
  • Colorado State University upped the ante by changing their prediction to 10 hurricanes with 5 major ones.

So far we’ve had one hurricane since the June 1 Atlantic Hurricane season start for 2010. Yes ONE hurricane is all. You can see the below timeline.

2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Timeline

The season ends November 30, 2010. Plenty if time for things to pop in the Atlantic, but thus far it doesn’t look very promising that these “alarmist” forecasts will come true. Reminds me of the MET Office in Britain predicting a “Barbeque summer” that never occurred and their infamous prediction that the 2009-2010 winter in the UK would be the warmest on record, then having to eat it as it was the coldest in the past 30 years.

SEA TEMPERATURES

Seems we have BS flying about that the oceans are warming, of course due to global warming. Let’s just all forget we have El Niño conditions where the Pacific Ocean warms and La Niña conditions where it cools. Both have a global effect upon weather. You can see per the below from NOAA that things are definitely NOT heating  up in the Pacific.

Funny we have a La Niña firing up and it seems that’s going to have a chilling effect on not only ocean temperatures but also on those who have been promoting that ocean temperatures are rising. Sure ocean temperatures will rise and they’ll fall, but is it global warming? Or, is it the natural process that’s been going on that we call ENSO? (El Nino/La Nina Southern Oscilation).

ENSO conditions have occurred at two to seven year intervals for at least the past 300 years, but most of them have been weak. There is also evidence for strong El Niño events during the earlyHolocene epoch 10,000 years ago.

It’s like the thus far almost non-existent hurricane season this year. They probably figure if they ignore it, this too shall pass. The whole report from NOAA is here (PDF) if you want to read it there because I wonder if any MSM will publish anything about it because it’s contrary to all things warming.

In summary we have a lot of weather related events that the “warmers” have seized to postulate about anthropogenic global warming. Well they can postulate all they like, it doesn’t change the facts of reality. The reality is that weather is not necessarily global warming, it’s weather, regardless if cold or hot. We’ve had plenty of heat waves and cold snaps in the past. They’re not proof of anything more than we have weather and that planet Earth heats up and cools down also known as what the Earth does.

Heating and cooling isn’t some globally linear process, we have heating and cooling in various parts of the globe at various times. Right now we have an extraordinary heat-wave in Russia that’s balanced by an extraordinary cold-wave in South America. Seems mother nature balances things out doesn’t it?

We get El Nino heating up things, then we get mother nature balancing things out by giving us a La Nina to cool it off.

We have places in the world that are flooding and places that are having a drought, deserts and rain forests, etc.  Balance.

The big problem with the “warmers” and the “alarmist” is they tend to ignore reality and present us with postulation, half-truths, ignore most anything cooling they can get away with, and even present some outright lies like the infamous hockey-stick graph that conveniently ignores the Roman and Medieval warming periods.

Yet we’re all supposed to continue to believe their global warming BS. Sorry, I can’t buy into that.

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Arctic Icegate

Two very interesting articles in Timesonline.co.uk Sunday.   Both indicate that the Arctic Ice isn’t melting and in fact it’s expanding and has reached levels not seen since 1991.

IF you thought it was cold in Britain for the time of year, you should see what is happening around the North Pole. Scientists have discovered that the size of the Arctic ice cap has increased sharply to levels not seen since 2001.

Surprise! Surprise!

Mark Serreze, director of the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) in Colorado, is surprised by the Arctic’s recovery from the great melt of 2007 when summer ice shrank to its smallest recorded extent.

Of course we have the nutty MET Office still denying things are cooling off.  These are the same bums who in cried this was the warmest winter like ever, then about a month later had to eat it and admit it was the coldest in about 30 years.  I guess they just don’t get it.

Vicky Pope, a Met Office scientist, said the Arctic Oscillation had affected weather across the hemisphere. “It also played a part in the very warm weather experienced in the Mediterranean, and western Canada, where the winter Olympics were at risk of too little snow,” she said.

Funny awhile back El Nino was the cause of the lack of snow in Vancouver, now all of a sudden it’s the Arctic Oscillation.  Funny thing about this is that normally you have cold air circulating around the Arctic, but this time it has let colder air escape to lower latitudes. Must be another one of those cold causes heat things they like to try to brainwash people with.

Of course we have other AGW Scientist who don’t want to lose their day jobs blathering about like this.

Scientists emphasise that the regrowth of ice in the Arctic and the fierce US blizzards are natural variations in weather which have little relevance for long-term climate change.

Funny how when its hot someplace it’s cause is always Anthropogenic Global Warming, but when it’s cold it’s only a “natural variation.”   As usual in the AGW believer world the wind blows and the bullshit flows.

As usual short-term trends are perfectly fine when they go along with their global warming theories, but short-term trends don’t count when it’s against their lies.

“The reality is that greenhouse gases are making the world warmer, but it is a mistake to see short-term changes in weather, currents or Arctic ice cover as evidence of this,” Pope said.

“Instead you have to look at long-term trends. These show that Arctic summer sea ice is decreasing by 232,000 square miles a decade, nearly 2.5 times the area of Great Britain.

“On current trends it will still become ice-free in summer by around 2060.”

Let’s see, it took 10 years for it to decrease (I assume since 2000), but now it’s back in the 11th year to what it was before 1991, which is 19 years ago.  Sounds like a long-term trend to me. They just want you to ignore the fact that this winter is still part of the trend and treat it like it’s some one-time-only anomaly that doesn’t count because it doesn’t fit in with their theories.

Remember when you played games when you were a kid and the losers always tried to change the rules in their favor so they would be the winner?  Kind of sounds like AGW believer driven science to me.

Anthony Watts site points out that the Arctic ice is about back to normal and that it’s still continuing to increase beyond the time when it normally starts to decrease.  Yet another indication we’re not going to be taking a cruise across the ice-free Arctic anytime soon.

This chart from NISDC shows how much ice there is.  The pink line is the average median, the white is the sea ice extent on 4/30/10.  You can plainly see there’s no problem.

This chart from NISDC plainly shows that the ice is continuing to increase beyond normal time periods.  The light blue line is this year, note it’s still going up beyond the time when things normally start decreasing.

Of course this is all due to global warming…haha!  I guess those Polar Bears aren’t having to swim 100 miles from iceberg to iceberg either.

Source:  TimesOnline.co.uk

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