Tag Archives: coldest winter

MET Office Strikes Again!

Remember earlier in the year, the MET Office in the UK was touting the 2009-2010 winter was going to be “the warmest winter in living memory?” Then remember how about a month later they had to admit it was the coldest winter in Britain in the past 30 years? Well, they’re at it again, only this time they grounded practically every airline in Europe due to their “wonderful” computer models again.  More CO2 insanity (volcanoes do emit CO2 yanno).

Per this article from Telegraph.co.uk titled “Volcanic ash cloud: Met Office blamed for unnecessary 6 day closure” we find the following…

The government agency was accused of using a scientific model based on “probability” rather than fact to forecast the spread of the volcanic ash cloud that made Europe a no-fly zone and ruined the plans of more than 2.5 million travellers in and out of Britain.

See, we again have “scientific probability” and computer models making incorrect predictions again.

Much of the blame was directed at the Met Office’s Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre (VAAC). It provided the initial warning, which triggered the European-wide ban via Eurocontrol, the air traffic control centre in Brussels.

Matthias Ruete, the European Commission’s director-general of transport, said air traffic authorities should not have relied on a single source of scientific evidence before imposing the widespread ban. He suggested the no-fly zone should have been restricted to a 20 to 30-mile limit around the volcano. “The science behind the model we are running at the moment is based on certain assumptions where we do not have clear scientific evidence,” he said.

Sounds amazingly familiar doesn’t it?  Kind of like telling us we have anthropogenic global warming based on computer models that conveniently alter the data to prove their theory instead of the other way around, which is the way it should be.  (i.e., you get the data, then arrive at a conclusion, you don’t invent a conclusion, then make sure the data proves what you want).

Now they may get sued over all of this.  I wish someone would sue them over AGW, but they’ve been whitewashed into innocence by a group of convenient peers.  Still one can hope.

“This may well open the way for wider litigation against the Met Office and other government agencies who are found to have failed in their duty of care. The damages and legal costs could break the £1?billion mark.”

You want more proof that these computer models “suck” whether they are about climate or volcanic ash you can go to C3 and read this article regarding a NASA scientists comments about their computer models.

Enough with the computer models please.  Can we just get the straight, unaltered data, and see what it points to before we run around screaming the sky is falling?

Source:  Telegraph.co.uk

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It’s Getting Colder, Not Warmer

Telegraph.co.uk has an interesting article from yesterday (4/15/10) regarding the start of more extreme winters. Yes it may be getting colder, not warmer…

However, scientists are now warning that Britain can expect to endure a series of extreme winters – the like of which have not seen for more than 300 years.

Researchers have found that low solar activity – marked by a decrease in the sun’s magnetic field – influences the weather conditions across northern Europe.

It has been a long time since this last happened…

The last time the sun showed similar behaviour, between 1650 and 1700, temperatures dropped so low that Londoners were able to skate and hold fairs on the iced-over River Thames.

According to a study published today, we are moving into “an era of low solar activity which is likely to result in UK winter temperatures more like those at the end of the Seventeenth Century.”

According to Mike Lockwood, one of the main researchers, the latest winter marks the start of a Maunder minimum – when solar activity falls for a prolonged time.

The sun’s magnetic field is thought to influence the jet stream – a fast-moving, high altitude current of air which moves eastwards at 35,000ft over the Atlantic.

Better stock up on long underwear if you live in the UK (and perhaps elsewhere)…

“This year’s winter in the UK has been the fourteenth coldest in the last 160 years and yet the global average temperature for the same period has been the fifth highest,” said Prof Lockwood, a space physicist at the University of Reading’s department of meteorology. “We have discovered that this kind of anomaly is significantly more common when solar activity is low,” he added. “Temperatures should not fall as low as they did in 1684 but we can expect an increased number of cold winters.”

You can read the study for yourself.

Here is the link to the IOP Science paper Are cold winters in Europe associated with low solar activity?

So much for CO2 Insanity caused global warming, eh?

Source:  Telegraph.co.uk

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Filed under Climategate, Co2 Insanity, Science, Weather